Thursday, May 9, 2019

IT IS JOE BIDEN'S TO LOSE

So Joe Biden has officially entered the Democratic presidential nomination race, and he is alone at the top in all the popularity polls.   Though it is still early days, it looks like it is Biden's selection to lose in spite of his carrying a lot of political baggage  Curiously, there is a recent CNN SSRS poll where, surprisingly, Beto O'Rourke has the best numbers to beat Donald Trump (52% to 42%) head to head, though Joe Biden is not far behind at 52% to 45%.*  I say surprisingly because O'Rourke is way behind Biden in popularity (4.6% to 36.8%) in a Real Clear Politics blended polling numbers from late April.***

My favorites continue to be (no change from March):
Favorite #1 is Beto O'Rourke  47 in September (September 26,1972).
Favorite #2 is John  Hickenlooper 67 in February (b February 7, 1952)
Favorite #3 is Amy (True Grit) Klobuchar  59 in May (May 25, 1960)

Beto has sort of disappeared from the TV news media though he seems to be making a comeback.  A problem he has maybe is with women   A column by Margaret Carlson (Beto O'Rounde Really Blew It) really slams him.****  He seems to have affected Mika Brzezinski similarly, as she won't even mention his name anymore and they do not have him on Morning Joe.
Whether he can recover from this problem remains to be seen.

Amy Klobuchar is faring even worse than Beto at a blended rating of 1.6% by Real Clear Politics.***
Though John Hickenlooper does not even come close to 1% in Real Clear Politics, I'll stick with him through the first debate in June that is not that far off.  He is getting quite a bit of TV coverage.  It seems early to start the debates, but Democrats have to thin the field of candidates that exceeds 20 at this point.

.............................................................................
Here are the ages as of the geriatric candidates.:*
Bernie Sanders 78 in September (b September 8, 1941)
Joe Biden         77 in November (b November 20, 1942)
John Kerry       76 in December ((b December 11, 1943)
DonaldTrump  73 in June (b June 14, 1946)
Eliz. Warren    70 in June (b June 22, 1949)
John  Hickenlooper 67 in February (b February 7, 1952)

*  http://stopcontinentaldrift.blogspot.com/2019/02/presidential-candidates-ages.html
** http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/05/01/rel6d.-.trump.and.2020.pdf
*** https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/434534-msnbcs-scarborough-hits-orourke-on-his-message-its-all-goop

https://www.thedailybeast.com/beto-orourke-blew-it

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